La escuela de los momios

Austria Wien v RB Salzburg

Inicio: 2026-04-19 12:30 UTC

Final: Austria Wien 1–3 RB Salzburg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Austria Wien (Local)

Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.098%
Ventaja -0.025%
Kelly -0.034%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.74%25.88%25.71%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.443.403.8932.79%29.05%29.41%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

RB Salzburg (Visitante)

Predicción 48.59%2.06momio equitativo
EV -0.399%
Ventaja -0.194%
Kelly -0.380%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.91%48.42%48.51%49.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.931.922.0557.80%51.85%52.08%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.73%3.89momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -0.698%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.34%25.70%25.78%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.533.503.8131.25%28.31%28.57%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -0.098%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -4.77%E -2.43%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV -4.02%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 12:20
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -4.77%E -2.43%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%EV -8.14%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 11:25
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 25.23%EV -2.15%E -0.565%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.54%EV -5.74%E -2.96%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.23%EV -1.96%E -0.515%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:25
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:25
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 12:00
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 12:04
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.71%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:10
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
Suprabets3.67I 27.25%NM 24.74%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.55%EV -9.14%E -4.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:18
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.26%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 12:24
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:10
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -9.14%E -4.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:00
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.71%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.55%E -6.97%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 12:04
Betclic (FR)3.47I 28.82%NM 25.78%EV -10.88%E -3.14%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.34%EV -9.17%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 12:17
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.63%E -5.18%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:50
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 12:00
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 12:25
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 12:05
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.08%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -15.95%E -9.22%K -21.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -17.66%E -5.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-19 12:00
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:01
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -15.25%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.57%E -6.36%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 11:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 12:00
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.55%E -6.97%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 11:50
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -21.67%E -7.11%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -13.80%E -4.12%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-19 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.2%2026-04-19 12:25