Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien v LASK

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prediction 33.16%3.02fair odd
EV -0.511%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.256%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.73%33.10%33.22%34.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.772.803.0040.00%36.10%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LASK (Visit)

Prediction 35.34%2.83fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%35.30%35.35%36.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.632.622.7642.55%38.01%38.17%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.50%3.17fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.22%31.60%31.43%33.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.882.903.0837.74%34.70%34.48%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Wien (Local): 33.16%; LASK (Visit): 35.34%; Draw: 31.50%. For Austria Wien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.511%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -0.511%E -0.170%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.26%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.43%EV -5.82%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -2.17%E -0.735%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -2.98%E -0.969%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -2.17%E -0.735%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -2.98%E -0.969%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -2.17%E -0.735%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.02%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:44
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.02%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:43
Coolbet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -4.82%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.52%EV -2.47%E -0.894%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 09:59
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.38%EV -3.61%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:49
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:38
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:50
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:44
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 15:49
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:30
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:44
Suprabets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%EV -8.14%E -2.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.83%EV -7.77%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.35%EV -11.49%E -4.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:40
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:43
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:50
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:29
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:29
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 15:39
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:54
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:45
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.80%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 15:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.30%EV -11.12%E -4.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.11%E -5.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-01 15:44
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -13.11%E -5.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.78%E -5.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -17.09%E -6.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -16.96%E -7.22%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -16.53%E -6.24%K -10.02%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-01 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-03-01 15:50
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.0%2026-03-01 15:49