La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Austria Wien v LASK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Austria Wien (Local)
Predicción 33.16%3.02momio equitativo
EV -0.511%
Ventaja -0.170%
Kelly -0.256%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.73%33.10%33.22%34.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.803.0040.00%36.10%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
LASK (Visitante)
Predicción 35.34%2.83momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.894%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%35.30%35.35%36.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.632.622.7642.55%38.01%38.17%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.50%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -0.969%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.22%31.60%31.43%33.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.882.903.0837.74%34.70%34.48%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -0.511%E -0.170%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.26%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.43%EV -5.82%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -2.17%E -0.735%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -2.98%E -0.969%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -2.17%E -0.735%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -2.98%E -0.969%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -2.17%E -0.735%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.02%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.02%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:43 |
| Coolbet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -4.82%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.52%EV -2.47%E -0.894%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 09:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.38%EV -3.61%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 15:38 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| Suprabets | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%EV -8.14%E -2.94%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 34.83%EV -7.77%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.35%EV -11.49%E -4.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:43 |
| theScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.80%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.30%EV -11.12%E -4.15%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.11%E -5.00%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -13.11%E -5.00%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.78%E -5.30%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -17.09%E -6.84%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -16.96%E -7.22%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -16.53%E -6.24%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |