L’École des cotes

Austria Wien v LASK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Austria Wien (Local)

Prévision 33.16%3.02cote équitable
EV -0.511%
Avantage -0.170%
Kelly -0.256%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.73%33.10%33.22%34.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.772.803.0040.00%36.10%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

LASK (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.34%2.83cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -0.894%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%35.30%35.35%36.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.632.622.7642.55%38.01%38.17%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.50%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -0.969%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.22%31.60%31.43%33.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.882.903.0837.74%34.70%34.48%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 32.32%EV -0.511%E -0.170%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.26%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.43%EV -5.82%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 15:55
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -2.17%E -0.735%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -2.98%E -0.969%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -2.17%E -0.735%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -2.98%E -0.969%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -2.17%E -0.735%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:55
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.02%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:44
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.02%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:43
Coolbet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -4.82%E -1.68%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.52%EV -2.47%E -0.894%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 09:59
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.38%EV -3.61%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:49
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:38
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 15:45
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:50
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:44
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 15:49
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:30
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:30
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:29
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:45
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.14%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:44
Suprabets2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%EV -8.14%E -2.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.83%EV -7.77%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.35%EV -11.49%E -4.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:40
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:43
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:50
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:29
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:29
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:29
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:29
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -8.80%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 15:39
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:55
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:54
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:44
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:45
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:45
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.46%E -3.87%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.80%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 15:39
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.30%EV -11.12%E -4.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 15:54
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 15:55
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.11%E -5.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-01 15:44
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -13.11%E -5.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 15:40
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.78%E -5.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 15:55
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -17.09%E -6.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -16.96%E -7.22%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -16.53%E -6.24%K -10.02%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-01 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-03-01 15:50
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.0%2026-03-01 15:49