Language:English
Austria Wien v Hartberg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Austria Wien (Local)
Prediction 54.53%1.83fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -5.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.12%54.48%54.58%56.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.701.7662.50%58.63%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hartberg (Visit)
Prediction 19.75%5.06fair odd
EV +0.721%
Edge +0.141%
Kelly +0.176%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.41%19.81%19.76%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.524.505.1024.39%22.12%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV -0.473%
Edge -0.122%
Kelly -0.165%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.71%25.67%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.503.8732.26%28.46%28.57%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Wien (Local): 54.53%; Hartberg (Visit): 19.75%; Draw: 25.72%. For Hartberg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.721%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.22%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +0.721%E +0.141%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.13%EV -0.267%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.35%EV -2.02%E -0.529%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.05%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -0.267%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.24%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.24%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.28%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV -4.41%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -0.473%E -0.122%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.20%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.20%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 12:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.11%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.54%EV -8.45%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 12:02 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.27%E -0.598%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.34%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.32%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -20.28%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.03%EV -12.12%E -2.72%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.61%EV -10.50%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -19.03%E -4.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.85%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 12:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |