La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Austria Wien v Hartberg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Austria Wien (Local)
Predicción 54.53%1.83momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -5.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.12%54.48%54.58%56.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.711.701.7662.50%58.63%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hartberg (Visitante)
Predicción 19.75%5.06momio equitativo
EV +0.721%
Ventaja +0.141%
Kelly +0.176%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.41%19.81%19.76%21.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.524.505.1024.39%22.12%22.22%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.473%
Ventaja -0.122%
Kelly -0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.71%25.67%27.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.8732.26%28.46%28.57%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.22%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +0.721%E +0.141%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.13%EV -0.267%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.35%EV -2.02%E -0.529%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.05%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -0.267%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.24%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.24%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.28%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV -4.41%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -0.473%E -0.122%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.20%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.20%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 12:24 |
| Suprabets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.11%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.54%EV -8.45%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 12:02 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.27%E -0.598%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.34%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.32%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -20.28%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.03%EV -12.12%E -2.72%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.61%EV -10.50%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -19.03%E -4.64%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.85%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 12:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |