مدرسة الاحتمالات

Austria Wien v Hartberg

البداية: 2026-05-03 12:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Austria Wien 1–0 Hartberg

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Austria Wien (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.53%1.83السعر العادل
EV -4.02%
الأفضلية -2.28%
Kelly -5.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.12%54.48%54.58%56.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.711.701.7662.50%58.63%58.82%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hartberg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.75%5.06السعر العادل
EV +0.721%
الأفضلية +0.141%
Kelly +0.176%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.41%19.81%19.76%21.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.104.524.505.1024.39%22.12%22.22%19.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.72%3.89السعر العادل
EV -0.473%
الأفضلية -0.122%
Kelly -0.165%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.51%25.71%25.67%27.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.513.503.8732.26%28.46%28.57%25.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.22%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +0.721%E +0.141%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:15
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.13%EV -0.267%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.35%EV -2.02%E -0.529%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 12:15
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.05%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -0.267%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 12:15
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.24%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 12:25
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.24%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:15
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.23%E -0.659%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.28%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV -4.41%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -0.473%E -0.122%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 12:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.20%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:25
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.66%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.19%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.20%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 12:24
Suprabets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.11%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -7.18%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.54%EV -8.45%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:02
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 12:10
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 12:05
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 12:05
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 12:05
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 12:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -9.15%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 12:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.27%E -0.598%K -0.812%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 12:05
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 12:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 12:05
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.34%EV -12.75%E -7.97%K -21.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.32%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -11.66%E -7.20%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -20.28%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.03%EV -12.12%E -2.72%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.61%EV -10.50%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 12:09
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 12:05
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.10%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:05
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:05
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:05
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:05
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 12:05
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.57%E -6.44%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -17.05%E -4.06%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 12:05
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -19.03%E -4.64%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.85%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 12:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-03 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-03 12:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-03 12:20
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%5.3%2026-05-03 12:15