The School of Odds

Austria Lustenau v Ried

2026-08-02 15:00 — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: Austria Lustenau (Local)

Odds
2.1546.51%Min
2.2843.78%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.3941.84%Max
Consensus probabilities
39.04%2.562Min
40.69%2.458Max
40.39%2.476Mean
40.54%2.467Median
40.39%2.476IQM
40.36%2.478Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.39 under the IQM model: 40.39%

EV -3.46%Edge -1.45%Kelly -2.49%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Ried (Visit)

Odds
2.7536.36%Min
2.8934.62%Mean
2.9034.48%Median
3.0033.33%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.12%3.213Min
33.68%2.969Max
31.31%3.193Mean
31.21%3.204Median
31.31%3.193IQM
31.29%3.195Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.00 under the IQM model: 31.31%

EV -6.06%Edge -2.02%Kelly -3.03%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.2530.81%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.4229.24%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.28%3.666Min
28.85%3.466Max
28.29%3.534Mean
28.25%3.540Median
28.29%3.534IQM
28.35%3.528Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.42 under the IQM model: 28.29%

EV -3.23%Edge -0.946%Kelly -1.34%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAustria Lustenau (Local) ▼Ried (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.39I 41.84% NM 39.04%EV -3.46% E -1.45% K -2.49% G +0.000%2.77I 36.10% NM 33.68%EV -13.26% E -4.79% K -7.49% G +0.000%3.42I 29.24% NM 27.28%EV -3.23% E -0.946% K -1.34% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 02:15
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.07%EV -5.08% E -2.16% K -3.76% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.39%EV -6.06% E -2.02% K -3.03% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.54%EV -6.63% E -2.01% K -2.88% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-03 15:15
Coolbet2.35I 42.55% NM 39.90%EV -5.08% E -2.16% K -3.76% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.25%EV -6.06% E -2.02% K -3.03% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.85%EV -8.04% E -2.48% K -3.58% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 15:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48% NM 40.59%EV -7.10% E -3.09% K -5.46% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.12%EV -6.06% E -2.02% K -3.03% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.29%EV -6.63% E -2.01% K -2.88% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-03 15:13
Fanatics2.25I 44.44% NM 40.69%EV -9.12% E -4.05% K -7.29% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.57%EV -9.19% E -3.17% K -4.84% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.74%EV -6.63% E -2.01% K -2.88% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-03 15:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45% NM 40.26%EV -11.14% E -5.06% K -9.28% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.63%EV -12.32% E -4.40% K -6.85% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.12%EV -10.87% E -3.45% K -5.06% G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-03 15:15
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 40.02%EV -13.16% E -6.12% K -11.44% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 31.29%EV -13.89% E -5.05% K -7.94% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.68%EV -15.12% E -5.04% K -7.56% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-03 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerAustria Lustenau (Local)Ried (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 07:45