The School of Odds

Austria Lustenau v Ried

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Austria Lustenau (Local)

Prediction 35.55%2.81fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.98%35.52%35.58%36.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.602.6843%39%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ried (Visit)

Prediction 35.97%2.78fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.60%35.87%35.94%36.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.552.7043%39%39%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.927%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%28.60%28.49%30.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.173.4033%32%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.59%EV -4.73%E -1.76%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.08%EV -6.57%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.79%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 10:04
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.79%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 12:36
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.79%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 07:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.86%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 11:14
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.86%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 11:14
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.86%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -8.28%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 18:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.15%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 00:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.15%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 00:44
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 21:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 08:19
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 13:58
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-16 08:20
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-16 08:20
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-16 08:20
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-16 08:20
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 19:04
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 21:34
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 10:04
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 10:09
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 10:04
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -10.27%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-11 21:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 10:05
Suprabets2.48I 40.32%NM 35.70%EV -11.84%E -4.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.99%EV -9.01%E -3.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.31%EV -13.98%E -4.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-16 08:24
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.36%EV -11.84%E -4.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.11%EV -11.13%E -3.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 15:07
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -12.90%E -5.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-11 21:35
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -14.68%E -6.12%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.27%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-11 21:29
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.65%EV -16.46%E -7.00%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.42%EV -17.28%E -7.51%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.93%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-11 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 34.60%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.31%8.6%2026-07-25 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 34.60%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.31%8.6%2026-07-25 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 34.60%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.31%8.6%2026-07-25 15:45
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 34.61%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.10%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.29%9.4%2026-07-25 15:50