Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Lustenau v Ried

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC

Score final : Austria Lustenau 1–1 Ried

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austria Lustenau (Local)

Prévision 29.69%3.37cote équitable
EV +2.12%
Avantage +0.616%
Kelly +0.868%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.89%29.78%29.61%32.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.4435.71%32.45%32.26%29.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ried (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.96%2.44cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.89%41.00%41.00%43.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.67%44.44%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.35%3.41cote équitable
EV -0.199%
Avantage -0.059%
Kelly -0.083%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.54%29.22%29.38%30.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.133.153.4033.90%31.92%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Austria Lustenau (Local) : 29.69% ; Ried (Visiteur) : 40.96% ; Match nul : 29.35%. Pour Austria Lustenau (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.44, soit une espérance positive de +2.12%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV +2.12%E +0.616%K +0.868%G +0.018%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.21%EV -9.07%E -4.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -2.55%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV +0.634%E +0.187%K +0.265%G +0.002%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -6.20%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV +0.634%E +0.187%K +0.265%G +0.002%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -6.20%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:45
Pinnacle🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.55%EV +0.040%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.84%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.61%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:50
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.52%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:45
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:54
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:49
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.13%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:55
Suprabets🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.54%EV -10.29%E -4.70%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.03%EV -11.06%E -3.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:45
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:44
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.49%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:39
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:40
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:40
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:39
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:39
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:39
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 14:55
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 14:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 14:54
theScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 14:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 14:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 29.35%EV -10.05%E -3.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.80%EV -10.70%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.85%EV -12.53%E -4.20%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.18%EV -7.02%E -3.09%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 14:40
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 14:55
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -10.94%E -3.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -13.41%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-02 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -12.43%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.00%EV -12.34%E -5.77%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 14:40
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.91%E -4.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.91%E -4.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 14:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.91%E -4.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 14:40
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.88%E -6.03%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 14:54
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -16.88%E -6.03%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-08-02 14:55