L’École des cotes

Austria Lustenau v Ried

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Austria Lustenau (Local)

Prévision 35.55%2.81cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.98%35.52%35.58%36.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.552.602.6842.55%39.14%38.46%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ried (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.97%2.78cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.60%35.87%35.94%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.542.552.7043.48%39.35%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.48%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -0.927%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.46%28.60%28.49%30.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.163.173.4033.33%31.65%31.50%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.59%EV -4.73%E -1.76%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.08%EV -6.57%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.79%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 10:04
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.79%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 12:36
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.79%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 07:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.86%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 11:14
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.86%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 11:14
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.86%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -8.28%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 18:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.15%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 00:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.15%E -0.927%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 00:44
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 21:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 08:19
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 13:58
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-16 08:20
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-16 08:20
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-16 08:20
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-16 08:20
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -7.43%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 19:04
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 21:34
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 10:04
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 10:09
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.70%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 10:04
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -10.27%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-11 21:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 10:05
Suprabets2.48I 40.32%NM 35.70%EV -11.84%E -4.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.99%EV -9.01%E -3.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.31%EV -13.98%E -4.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-16 08:24
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.36%EV -11.84%E -4.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.11%EV -11.13%E -3.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 15:07
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -12.90%E -5.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-11 21:35
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -14.68%E -6.12%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -10.27%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-11 21:29
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.65%EV -16.46%E -7.00%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.42%EV -17.28%E -7.51%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.93%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-11 21:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%8.1%2026-07-26 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%8.1%2026-07-26 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.27%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%8.1%2026-07-26 02:30
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 34.27%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.27%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%8.9%2026-07-26 02:30