Language:English
Wellington Phoenix FC v Western Sydney Wanderers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wellington Phoenix FC (Local)
Prediction 44.73%2.24fair odd
EV +2.88%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.38%44.59%44.76%46.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.092.102.3051.81%47.95%47.62%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.409%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.19%30.98%30.77%35.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.713.023.053.2136.90%33.07%32.79%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.53%4.08fair odd
EV -0.666%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.218%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.50%24.44%24.47%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.753.754.0531.25%26.70%26.67%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix FC (Local): 44.73%; Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit): 30.74%; Draw: 24.53%. For Wellington Phoenix FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV +2.88%E +1.25%K +2.21%G +0.064% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.12%EV -16.69%E -6.16%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -0.666%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -2.04%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.74%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.48%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 04:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.93%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 04:47 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.79%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV -5.00%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.34%EV -3.85%E -0.983%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.18%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.17%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.17%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.11%EV -1.31%E -0.409%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -0.666%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 04:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.11%EV -1.31%E -0.409%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -0.666%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 04:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 04:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 04:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 04:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 04:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 04:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 04:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 04:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.70%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 04:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.86%E -3.81%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -7.86%E -3.81%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -7.29%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -1.62%E -0.507%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.65%E -4.77%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -12.93%E -3.64%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.65%E -4.77%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -12.93%E -3.64%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -15.46%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.51%E -6.72%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-18 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.81%EV -10.99%E -5.52%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.60%EV -11.88%E -6.03%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -14.16%E -4.04%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.08%EV -13.67%E -7.08%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.84%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 04:55 |