La escuela de los momios

Wellington Phoenix FC v Western Sydney Wanderers

Inicio: 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC

Final: Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wellington Phoenix FC (Local)

Predicción 44.73%2.24momio equitativo
EV +2.88%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +2.21%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.38%44.59%44.76%46.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.092.102.3051.81%47.95%47.62%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Western Sydney Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 30.74%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.409%
Kelly -0.595%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.19%30.98%30.77%35.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.713.023.053.2136.90%33.07%32.79%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.53%4.08momio equitativo
EV -0.666%
Ventaja -0.165%
Kelly -0.218%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.50%24.44%24.47%26.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.753.754.0531.25%26.70%26.67%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV +2.88%E +1.25%K +2.21%G +0.064%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.12%EV -16.69%E -6.16%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -0.666%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 11:00
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -2.04%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.74%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 04:50
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.48%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 04:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 04:25
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.93%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 04:47
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.79%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV -5.00%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.34%EV -3.85%E -0.983%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.18%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 04:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.17%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 04:55
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.17%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 04:55
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.11%EV -1.31%E -0.409%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -0.666%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 04:25
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.11%EV -1.31%E -0.409%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -0.666%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 04:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 04:45
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 04:25
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:25
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:35
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:45
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 04:50
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 04:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.70%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 04:49
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:55
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 04:55
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.86%E -3.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 04:55
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -7.86%E -3.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -7.29%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -1.62%E -0.507%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 04:55
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 04:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 04:50
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.65%E -4.77%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -12.93%E -3.64%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 04:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.65%E -4.77%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -12.93%E -3.64%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 04:55
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -15.46%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 04:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.51%E -6.72%K -9.78%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 04:45
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.81%EV -10.99%E -5.52%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 04:50
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.60%EV -11.88%E -6.03%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -14.16%E -4.04%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 04:55
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.08%EV -13.67%E -7.08%K -14.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.84%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 04:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-04-18 04:55