L’École des cotes

Wellington Phoenix FC v Western Sydney Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC

Score final : Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wellington Phoenix FC (Local)

Prévision 44.73%2.24cote équitable
EV +2.88%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +2.21%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.38%44.59%44.76%46.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.092.102.3051.81%47.95%47.62%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Western Sydney Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.74%3.25cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.409%
Kelly -0.595%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.19%30.98%30.77%35.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.713.023.053.2136.90%33.07%32.79%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.53%4.08cote équitable
EV -0.666%
Avantage -0.165%
Kelly -0.218%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.50%24.44%24.47%26.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.753.754.0531.25%26.70%26.67%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV +2.88%E +1.25%K +2.21%G +0.064%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.12%EV -16.69%E -6.16%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -0.666%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 11:00
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -2.04%E -0.932%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.74%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 04:50
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.48%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.36%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 04:55
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 04:25
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.93%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 04:47
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.79%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV -5.00%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.34%EV -3.85%E -0.983%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.18%EV -4.73%E -2.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 04:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.17%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 04:55
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.17%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 04:55
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.11%EV -1.31%E -0.409%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -0.666%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 04:25
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.11%EV -1.31%E -0.409%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV -0.666%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 04:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 04:45
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 04:25
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:25
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:35
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:45
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 04:50
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 04:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.70%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 04:49
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:55
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.96%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 04:55
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.86%E -3.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 04:55
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -7.86%E -3.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.70%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -7.29%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 04:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -1.62%E -0.507%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 04:55
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 04:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.30%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 04:50
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.65%E -4.77%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -12.93%E -3.64%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 04:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.65%E -4.77%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -12.93%E -3.64%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 04:55
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -15.46%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 04:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.51%E -6.72%K -9.78%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 04:45
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.81%EV -10.99%E -5.52%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 04:50
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.60%EV -11.88%E -6.03%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -14.16%E -4.04%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 04:55
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.08%EV -13.67%E -7.08%K -14.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.84%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 04:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-18 04:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-04-18 04:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-04-18 04:55