Language:English
Wellington Phoenix FC v Perth Glory
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wellington Phoenix FC (Local)
Prediction 40.13%2.49fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.77%40.11%40.14%42.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.292.302.4246.73%43.58%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Perth Glory (Visit)
Prediction 33.17%3.01fair odd
EV -0.491%
Edge -0.164%
Kelly -0.246%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%33.21%33.22%34.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.803.0038.46%35.38%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.70%3.75fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -0.960%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.67%26.63%28.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.503.6533.33%28.57%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix FC (Local): 40.13%; Perth Glory (Visit): 33.17%; Draw: 26.70%. For Perth Glory (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.491%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.98%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.36%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.08%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.79%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.79%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.73%EV -5.29%E -2.24%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 01:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.73%EV -5.29%E -2.24%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 13:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.87%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.08%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.95%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -2.54%E -0.697%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 05:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.42%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 01:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.59%EV -7.30%E -3.16%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.73%EV -7.79%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -2.54%E -0.697%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.44%E -3.87%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -9.71%E -4.31%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -0.491%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.54%E -0.697%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.71%E -4.31%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -10.44%E -3.87%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.71%E -4.31%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -10.51%E -4.71%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -0.491%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -10.51%E -4.71%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -0.491%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -13.76%E -5.29%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -19.90%E -6.63%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.07%EV -12.92%E -5.95%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.18%EV -13.10%E -5.00%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -13.22%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.72%E -6.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.76%E -5.29%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -14.12%E -6.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -14.12%E -6.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |