L’École des cotes

Wellington Phoenix FC v Perth Glory

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 02:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wellington Phoenix FC (Local)

Prévision 40.13%2.49cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.77%40.11%40.14%42.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.292.302.4246.73%43.58%43.48%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Perth Glory (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.17%3.01cote équitable
EV -0.491%
Avantage -0.164%
Kelly -0.246%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.46%33.21%33.22%34.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.832.803.0038.46%35.38%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.70%3.75cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -0.697%
Kelly -0.960%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.69%26.67%26.63%28.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.503.503.6533.33%28.57%28.57%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 39.98%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.36%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.08%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 01:55
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 01:54
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 01:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 01:54
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 01:45
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 01:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 01:54
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.79%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 01:50
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.79%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 01:55
Betr (AU)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:24
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 39.73%EV -5.29%E -2.24%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 01:53
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 39.73%EV -5.29%E -2.24%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 01:54
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 13:58
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:54
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:54
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.87%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.08%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 01:54
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.95%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -2.54%E -0.697%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 05:35
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.42%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:30
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 40.59%EV -7.30%E -3.16%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.73%EV -7.79%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -2.54%E -0.697%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 01:54
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:24
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 01:24
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 01:54
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 01:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 01:54
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.44%E -3.87%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 01:54
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -9.71%E -4.31%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -0.491%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.54%E -0.697%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 01:50
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.71%E -4.31%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -10.44%E -3.87%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 01:25
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.71%E -4.31%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -10.51%E -4.71%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -0.491%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:49
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -10.51%E -4.71%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -0.491%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:49
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:49
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:49
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:50
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:49
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:49
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:49
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:49
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 01:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -13.76%E -5.29%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -19.90%E -6.63%K -9.95%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-14 01:25
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.07%EV -12.92%E -5.95%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.18%EV -13.10%E -5.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -13.22%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 01:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.72%E -6.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.76%E -5.29%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 01:24
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -14.12%E -6.60%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 01:49
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -14.12%E -6.60%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 01:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 01:55
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-14 01:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-03-14 01:55
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.1%2026-03-14 01:50