La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wellington Phoenix FC v Perth Glory
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wellington Phoenix FC (Local)
Predicción 40.13%2.49momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.77%40.11%40.14%42.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.292.302.4246.73%43.58%43.48%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Perth Glory (Visitante)
Predicción 33.17%3.01momio equitativo
EV -0.491%
Ventaja -0.164%
Kelly -0.246%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.46%33.21%33.22%34.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.803.0038.46%35.38%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.70%3.75momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -0.960%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.69%26.67%26.63%28.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.503.6533.33%28.57%28.57%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.98%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.36%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.08%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.58%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.79%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.79%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Bovada | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.73%EV -5.29%E -2.24%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 01:53 |
| BetUS | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.73%EV -5.29%E -2.24%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 13:58 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.87%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.08%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.95%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -2.54%E -0.697%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 05:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.42%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 01:30 |
| GTbets | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.59%EV -7.30%E -3.16%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.73%EV -7.79%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -2.54%E -0.697%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.44%E -3.87%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -9.71%E -4.31%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -0.491%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.54%E -0.697%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -9.71%E -4.31%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -10.44%E -3.87%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.71%E -4.31%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -10.51%E -4.71%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -0.491%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -10.51%E -4.71%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -0.491%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.15%E -0.729%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -13.76%E -5.29%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -19.90%E -6.63%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-14 01:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.07%EV -12.92%E -5.95%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.18%EV -13.10%E -5.00%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -13.22%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.72%E -6.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.76%E -5.29%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -14.12%E -6.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -14.12%E -6.60%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -7.88%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 01:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |