Language:English
Sydney FC v Melbourne City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sydney FC (Local)
Prediction 40.68%2.46fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.04%40.65%40.72%42.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.282.4047.62%44.01%43.86%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Melbourne City (Visit)
Prediction 32.93%3.04fair odd
EV +0.424%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.207%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.22%32.94%32.93%34.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.852.853.0537.74%35.12%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.373%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.40%26.35%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.56%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney FC (Local): 40.68%; Melbourne City (Visit): 32.93%; Draw: 26.39%. For Melbourne City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.424%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV +0.424%E +0.139%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -2.34%E -0.634%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%EV +0.424%E +0.139%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 06:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.22%E -0.407%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.22%E -0.407%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -1.22%E -0.407%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.55%E -0.416%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.55%E -0.416%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.83%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV -1.03%E -0.273%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 05:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 05:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 05:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -2.34%E -0.634%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 05:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 05:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 05:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 05:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -6.82%E -2.41%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 06:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -6.82%E -2.41%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 06:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 05:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 05:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 05:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 04:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 04:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -6.03%E -2.61%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 05:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 05:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 05:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 05:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.80%EV -9.78%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 04:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -3.18%E -1.34%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 04:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -14.57%E -6.94%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -18.18%E -5.86%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -14.22%E -4.38%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-17 06:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 06:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-17 06:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 2.0% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |