La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sydney FC v Melbourne City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sydney FC (Local)
Predicción 40.68%2.46momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.986%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.04%40.65%40.72%42.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.282.4047.62%44.01%43.86%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Melbourne City (Visitante)
Predicción 32.93%3.04momio equitativo
EV +0.424%
Ventaja +0.139%
Kelly +0.207%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.22%32.94%32.93%34.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.852.853.0537.74%35.12%35.09%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.39%3.79momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.373%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.42%26.40%26.35%27.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.56%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV +0.424%E +0.139%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -2.34%E -0.634%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%EV +0.424%E +0.139%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 06:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.22%E -0.407%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.22%E -0.407%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -1.22%E -0.407%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:19 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 06:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.55%E -0.416%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.55%E -0.416%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.83%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV -1.03%E -0.273%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 05:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 05:55 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 05:48 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -2.34%E -0.634%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 05:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 05:50 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 05:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 05:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -6.82%E -2.41%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 06:18 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -6.82%E -2.41%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 06:19 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 05:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 05:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 05:39 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 04:39 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 04:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -6.03%E -2.61%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 11:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 05:34 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 05:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 05:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 05:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-17 05:49 |
| GTbets | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.80%EV -9.78%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 04:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -3.18%E -1.34%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 04:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -14.57%E -6.94%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -18.18%E -5.86%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-17 05:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -14.22%E -4.38%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-17 06:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-03-17 06:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 06:19 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-17 06:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 2.0% | 2026-03-17 06:15 |