La scuola delle quote

Sydney FC v Melbourne City

Inizio: 2026-03-17 08:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sydney FC (Casa)

Previsione 40.68%2.46quota equa
EV -2.37%
Vantaggio -0.986%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.04%40.65%40.72%42.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.272.282.4047.62%44.01%43.86%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Melbourne City (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.93%3.04quota equa
EV +0.424%
Vantaggio +0.139%
Kelly +0.207%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.22%32.94%32.93%34.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.852.853.0537.74%35.12%35.09%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.39%3.79quota equa
EV -1.03%
Vantaggio -0.273%
Kelly -0.373%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.42%26.40%26.35%27.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.56%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV +0.424%E +0.139%K +0.207%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -2.34%E -0.634%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 05:40
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%EV +0.424%E +0.139%K +0.207%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 06:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.22%E -0.407%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 06:14
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.22%E -0.407%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 06:15
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -1.22%E -0.407%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 06:14
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 06:14
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 06:14
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 06:14
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 06:14
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 06:15
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 06:19
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 06:20
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.55%E -0.416%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 05:40
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.55%E -0.416%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 05:40
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.83%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV -1.03%E -0.273%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 06:15
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 05:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 05:55
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 05:48
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 05:40
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 06:14
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.65%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 06:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -2.34%E -0.634%K -0.868%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 05:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 05:50
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 05:35
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 05:35
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 05:49
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 05:49
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -6.82%E -2.41%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 06:18
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.94%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -6.82%E -2.41%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 06:19
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 05:49
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 05:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 05:49
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 05:39
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 05:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 04:39
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 04:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.37%E -0.986%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 04:40
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -6.03%E -2.61%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 11:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 05:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 05:34
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 05:35
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 05:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 05:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 05:49
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.80%EV -9.78%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 04:54
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -3.18%E -1.34%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 04:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -14.57%E -6.94%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -18.18%E -5.86%K -8.66%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-17 05:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-17 05:40
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -14.22%E -4.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-17 06:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-17 06:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-17 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-17 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-17 06:19
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-17 06:20
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.0%2026-03-17 06:15