La scuola delle quote

Newcastle Jets FC v Sydney FC

Inizio: 2026-05-16 09:40 UTC

Finale: Newcastle Jets FC 1–1 Sydney FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Newcastle Jets FC (Casa)

Previsione 41.35%2.42quota equa
EV -2.83%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.39%41.37%41.37%43.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.042.212.212.3549.02%45.20%45.15%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sydney FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.36%3.09quota equa
EV -1.31%
Vantaggio -0.429%
Kelly -0.639%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.52%32.39%32.31%33.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.882.903.0538.46%34.75%34.48%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.29%3.80quota equa
EV +1.23%
Vantaggio +0.320%
Kelly +0.433%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.92%26.23%26.33%27.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.94%27.78%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.28%EV -7.79%E -3.49%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.65%EV -1.31%E -0.429%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%EV +1.23%E +0.320%K +0.433%G +0.005%3.6%2026-05-16 09:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -9.86%E -4.52%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -9.86%E -4.52%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%EV -3.66%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -3.25%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 09:35
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -2.83%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 08:05
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -2.83%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 08:05
Coolbet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -2.93%E -0.976%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 09:15
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -10.27%E -4.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 09:00
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 09:00
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.70%EV -6.55%E -2.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.61%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.68%EV -3.50%E -0.954%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 02:39
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 09:30
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 09:34
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 03:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 09:10
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.13%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 08:50
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 41.44%EV -6.14%E -2.70%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.44%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 09:29
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 41.44%EV -6.14%E -2.70%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.44%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 09:30
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 09:30
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 03:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 08:15
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.34%EV -14.00%E -6.73%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.63%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 08:55
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.34%EV -14.00%E -6.73%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.63%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 08:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 09:15
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.81%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 09:25
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.81%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 09:30
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 09:15
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 09:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 09:15
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 09:19
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -7.13%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 08:10
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.26%EV -15.65%E -7.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -15.87%E -6.10%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 03:50
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.14%E -2.70%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -8.50%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 09:34
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 09:35
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 09:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 09:35
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 09:35
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.49%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -14.25%E -5.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 09:15
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -14.90%E -5.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-16 08:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-16 09:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-16 09:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-16 09:35
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-16 09:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-05-16 09:15
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.0%2026-05-16 09:35