مدرسة الاحتمالات

Newcastle Jets FC v Sydney FC

البداية: 2026-05-16 09:40 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Newcastle Jets FC 1–1 Sydney FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (11 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Newcastle Jets FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.35%2.42السعر العادل
EV -2.83%
الأفضلية -1.21%
Kelly -2.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.39%41.37%41.37%43.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.042.212.212.3549.02%45.20%45.15%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sydney FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.36%3.09السعر العادل
EV -1.31%
الأفضلية -0.429%
Kelly -0.639%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.52%32.39%32.31%33.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.882.903.0538.46%34.75%34.48%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.29%3.80السعر العادل
EV +1.23%
الأفضلية +0.320%
Kelly +0.433%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.92%26.23%26.33%27.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.94%27.78%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.28%EV -7.79%E -3.49%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.65%EV -1.31%E -0.429%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%EV +1.23%E +0.320%K +0.433%G +0.005%3.6%2026-05-16 09:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -9.86%E -4.52%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -9.86%E -4.52%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -1.40%E -0.372%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%EV -3.66%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV -3.25%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 09:35
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -2.83%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 08:05
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -2.83%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 08:05
Coolbet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.08%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -2.93%E -0.976%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 09:15
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -10.27%E -4.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 09:00
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 09:00
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.71%E -0.733%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 08:55
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.70%EV -6.55%E -2.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.61%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.68%EV -3.50%E -0.954%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 02:39
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 09:30
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 09:34
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 03:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 09:10
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.13%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 08:50
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 41.44%EV -6.14%E -2.70%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.44%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 09:29
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 41.44%EV -6.14%E -2.70%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.44%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 09:30
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 09:30
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 03:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 08:15
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.34%EV -14.00%E -6.73%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.63%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 08:55
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.34%EV -14.00%E -6.73%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.63%EV -7.78%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 08:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 09:15
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.81%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 09:25
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.81%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 09:30
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 09:15
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 09:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 09:15
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 09:19
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -7.13%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 08:10
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.26%EV -15.65%E -7.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -15.87%E -6.10%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 03:50
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.14%E -2.70%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -8.50%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 09:34
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 09:35
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 09:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.03%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 09:35
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 09:35
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.49%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -14.25%E -5.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 09:15
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -14.90%E -5.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.80%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-16 08:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-16 09:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-16 09:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-16 09:35
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-16 09:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-05-16 09:15
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.0%2026-05-16 09:35