Language:English
Newcastle Jets FC v Central Coast Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newcastle Jets FC (Local)
Prediction 63.59%1.57fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -5.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.35%63.46%63.67%64.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.78%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Central Coast Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 17.54%5.70fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -0.643%
Kelly -0.785%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.62%17.63%17.47%19.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.285.405.5022.22%18.96%18.52%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.87%5.30fair odd
EV -0.949%
Edge -0.181%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%18.91%18.87%21.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.915.005.2525.00%20.36%20.00%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newcastle Jets FC (Local): 63.59%; Central Coast Mariners (Visit): 17.54%; Draw: 18.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.25, with an expected value of -0.949%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.60%EV -2.70%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.16%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -10.38%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 07:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.93%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.04%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.02%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.33%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.33%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -0.949%E -0.181%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -0.949%E -0.181%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.01%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.41%EV -4.59%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.58%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.38%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 07:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.62%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.62%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -6.17%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.60%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.60%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.60%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.40%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 08:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.85%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.38%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 08:13 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 08:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.65%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.15%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.04%EV -14.06%E -2.87%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -11.33%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 07:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.90%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -21.07%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.84%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -24.53%E -6.13%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.39%EV -12.88%E -9.40%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -14.06%E -2.87%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.88%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.52%EV -13.51%E -9.94%K -37.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.84% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.67% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.67% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.65% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.65% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.80% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.99% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |