L’École des cotes

Newcastle Jets FC v Central Coast Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 07:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Newcastle Jets FC (Local)

Prévision 63.59%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -5.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.35%63.46%63.67%64.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.78%68.97%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Central Coast Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.54%5.70cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -0.643%
Kelly -0.785%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.62%17.63%17.47%19.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.285.405.5022.22%18.96%18.52%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.87%5.30cote équitable
EV -0.949%
Avantage -0.181%
Kelly -0.223%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.15%18.91%18.87%21.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.915.005.2525.00%20.36%20.00%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.60%EV -2.70%E -1.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.16%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:49
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:04
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -10.38%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 07:09
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.93%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.04%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.02%EV -4.61%E -3.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:50
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 14:50
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 10:35
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.33%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:15
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -11.33%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -0.949%E -0.181%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:15
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -0.949%E -0.181%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 09:20
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.01%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.41%EV -4.59%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.58%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:05
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.38%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 07:10
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.62%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:06
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.52%E -4.43%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.62%EV -4.72%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -6.17%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:30
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.60%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.60%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:19
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 64.60%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:19
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.40%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:34
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.85%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:08
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.38%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 13:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:13
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 09:15
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.53%E -0.643%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 09:14
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 09:15
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 09:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 09:15
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 09:15
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:09
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:13
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:24
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:24
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:24
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:25
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.29%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.78%E -0.741%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.65%EV -9.06%E -6.34%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 08:19
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -7.55%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 08:19
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.15%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.04%EV -14.06%E -2.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -11.33%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 07:05
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.90%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -21.07%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.84%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -10.97%E -7.83%K -27.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -12.30%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -24.53%E -6.13%K -8.18%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-21 09:15
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.39%EV -12.88%E -9.40%K -34.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -14.06%E -2.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.88%EV -13.21%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-21 11:25
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.52%EV -13.51%E -9.94%K -37.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 08:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 63.84%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%1.7%2026-04-23 22:19
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.67%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.67%1.8%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.65%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%2.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.65%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%2.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%2.4%2026-04-23 21:44
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.99%3.3%2026-04-23 21:44