Language:English
Newcastle Jets FC v Adelaide United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newcastle Jets FC (Local)
Prediction 43.58%2.29fair odd
EV -0.642%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.501%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.04%43.49%43.68%45.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.122.112.2851.55%47.28%47.39%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adelaide United (Visit)
Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV -0.296%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.148%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.45%33.28%33.17%34.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.832.853.0038.91%35.27%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.19%4.31fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.22%23.15%25.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.974.004.2030.30%25.18%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newcastle Jets FC (Local): 43.58%; Adelaide United (Visit): 33.23%; Draw: 23.19%. For Adelaide United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.296%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -0.642%E -0.281%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.88%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.65%EV -10.93%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.65%EV -10.93%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -5.00%E -2.29%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 06:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.15%EV -3.08%E -0.736%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.87%E -2.72%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -6.61%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 06:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 07:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 07:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 06:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 06:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.63%EV -7.18%E -3.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.01%EV -1.29%E -0.436%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.36%EV -5.63%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 07:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -7.61%E -3.59%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.28%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.28%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -4.62%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 06:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -4.62%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 06:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -9.36%E -4.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -9.36%E -4.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.06%EV -9.79%E -4.73%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -10.66%E -5.20%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.88%EV -11.97%E -5.93%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.71%EV -14.59%E -5.68%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -14.21%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-11 06:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.51%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.37%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 06:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.69%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.61%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.70%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.10%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.38%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -23.48%E -7.12%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -15.46%E -7.97%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 06:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 06:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.25% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 06:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |