La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Newcastle Jets FC v Adelaide United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newcastle Jets FC (Local)
Predicción 43.58%2.29momio equitativo
EV -0.642%
Ventaja -0.281%
Kelly -0.501%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.04%43.49%43.68%45.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.122.112.2851.55%47.28%47.39%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adelaide United (Visitante)
Predicción 33.23%3.01momio equitativo
EV -0.296%
Ventaja -0.099%
Kelly -0.148%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.45%33.28%33.17%34.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.572.832.853.0038.91%35.27%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.19%4.31momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -0.622%
Kelly -0.817%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%23.22%23.15%25.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.974.004.2030.30%25.18%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -0.642%E -0.281%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.88%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.65%EV -10.93%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.65%EV -10.93%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -5.00%E -2.29%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 06:38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.15%EV -3.08%E -0.736%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.87%E -2.72%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -6.61%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 06:39 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 07:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 07:00 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 06:35 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 06:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| GTbets | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.63%EV -7.18%E -3.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.01%EV -1.29%E -0.436%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.36%EV -5.63%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 07:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -7.61%E -3.59%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.28%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.28%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -4.62%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 06:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -4.62%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 06:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 06:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -9.36%E -4.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -9.36%E -4.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.06%EV -9.79%E -4.73%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -10.66%E -5.20%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.88%EV -11.97%E -5.93%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.71%EV -14.59%E -5.68%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -14.21%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-11 06:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 06:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.51%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.37%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 06:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.69%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.61%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.70%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.10%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.38%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -23.48%E -7.12%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -15.46%E -7.97%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-11 06:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 06:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 06:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.25% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 06:35 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 06:40 |