Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Newcastle Jets FC v Adelaide United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 07:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Newcastle Jets FC (Local)

Prévision 43.58%2.29cote équitable
EV -0.642%
Avantage -0.281%
Kelly -0.501%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.04%43.49%43.68%45.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.122.112.2851.55%47.28%47.39%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Adelaide United (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.23%3.01cote équitable
EV -0.296%
Avantage -0.099%
Kelly -0.148%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.45%33.28%33.17%34.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.572.832.853.0038.91%35.27%35.09%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.19%4.31cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.622%
Kelly -0.817%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%23.22%23.15%25.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.974.004.2030.30%25.18%25.00%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Newcastle Jets FC (Local) : 43.58% ; Adelaide United (Visiteur) : 33.23% ; Match nul : 23.19%. Pour Adelaide United (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.01. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.00, pour une espérance de -0.296% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -0.642%E -0.281%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 06:40
Coolbet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.88%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.70%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 06:40
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.65%EV -10.93%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 06:40
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.26%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.65%EV -10.93%E -4.08%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 06:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 22:14
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 06:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 06:40
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -4.13%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 06:40
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.04%EV -5.00%E -2.29%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 06:38
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.15%EV -3.08%E -0.736%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 06:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.44%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 06:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.87%E -2.72%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -6.61%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -8.64%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 06:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 06:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 07:00
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 07:00
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 06:40
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 06:40
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 06:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 06:35
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 06:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 06:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.31%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 06:40
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.63%EV -7.18%E -3.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.01%EV -1.29%E -0.436%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.36%EV -5.63%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -7.61%E -3.59%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.93%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 06:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.61%E -0.622%K -0.817%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.28%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 06:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.28%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 06:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -4.62%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 06:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -4.62%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 06:15
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 06:15
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.49%E -4.04%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 06:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -9.36%E -4.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 06:00
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -9.36%E -4.50%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 06:00
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.06%EV -9.79%E -4.73%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 06:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 06:00
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 06:00
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 06:00
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 06:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 06:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 06:00
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -10.23%E -4.97%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 06:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -10.66%E -5.20%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -7.25%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 06:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.88%EV -11.97%E -5.93%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.71%EV -14.59%E -5.68%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -14.21%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 06:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 06:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 06:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.51%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.37%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 06:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.69%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.61%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.70%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-11 06:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.10%EV -12.84%E -6.42%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.38%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -23.48%E -7.12%K -10.21%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-11 06:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -15.46%E -7.97%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 06:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-04-11 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-04-11 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-04-11 06:35
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-04-11 06:35
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.25%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-04-11 06:35
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%3.0%2026-04-11 06:40