Language:English
Macarthur FC v Wellington Phoenix FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Macarthur FC (Local)
Prediction 46.79%2.14fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.96%46.83%46.67%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.56%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wellington Phoenix FC (Visit)
Prediction 29.77%3.36fair odd
EV +2.71%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.26%29.72%29.88%30.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.203.203.4534.48%31.28%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.44%4.27fair odd
EV -0.130%
Edge -0.030%
Kelly -0.040%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.68%23.45%23.45%26.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.873.804.2630.77%25.85%26.32%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Macarthur FC (Local): 46.79%; Wellington Phoenix FC (Visit): 29.77%; Draw: 23.44%. For Wellington Phoenix FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV +2.71%E +0.785%K +1.11%G +0.030% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV +2.71%E +0.785%K +1.11%G +0.030% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV +2.71%E +0.785%K +1.11%G +0.030% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.77%E -4.50%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -0.865%E -0.260%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -0.130%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -0.865%E -0.260%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -0.130%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.04%E -6.41%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.43%E -3.95%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.04%E -6.41%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.43%E -3.95%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.25%E -0.999%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.88%E -0.947%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.25%E -0.999%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 00:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -3.84%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.91%EV -1.07%E -0.253%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 00:32 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 12:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.91%EV -14.38%E -7.86%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -16.77%E -4.73%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.18%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.15%EV -6.52%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.74%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -5.96%E -2.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.31%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.56%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.05%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-24 03:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.56%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.05%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.74%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -23.81%E -7.33%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.40%EV -11.11%E -5.85%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.06%EV -13.45%E -7.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.02%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |