A Escola das Odds

Macarthur FC v Wellington Phoenix FC

Início: 2026-04-24 09:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Macarthur FC (Local)

Previsão 46.79%2.14odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -1.99%
Kelly -3.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.96%46.83%46.67%48.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.56%50.00%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wellington Phoenix FC (Visitante)

Previsão 29.77%3.36odd justa
EV +2.71%
Vantagem +0.785%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.26%29.72%29.88%30.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.203.203.4534.48%31.28%31.25%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.44%4.27odd justa
EV -0.130%
Vantagem -0.030%
Kelly -0.040%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.68%23.45%23.45%26.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.873.804.2630.77%25.85%26.32%23.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV +2.71%E +0.785%K +1.11%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV +2.71%E +0.785%K +1.11%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 08:59
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV +2.71%E +0.785%K +1.11%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.77%E -4.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:59
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:59
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -0.865%E -0.260%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -0.130%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:04
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -0.865%E -0.260%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -0.130%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:04
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:54
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.04%E -6.41%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.43%E -3.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.04%E -6.41%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.43%E -3.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.25%E -0.999%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.88%E -0.947%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:29
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.25%E -0.999%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:33
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -3.84%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.91%EV -1.07%E -0.253%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 03:10
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 00:32
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:38
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.91%EV -14.38%E -7.86%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -16.77%E -4.73%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 09:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:24
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:05
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:04
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.18%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.15%EV -6.52%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.74%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:34
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -5.96%E -2.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.31%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:39
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.56%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.05%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:43
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.56%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.05%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.74%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 03:04
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:05
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:55
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -23.81%E -7.33%K -10.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.40%EV -11.11%E -5.85%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-24 03:05
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.06%EV -13.45%E -7.27%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.02%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-04-24 03:40