L’École des cotes

Macarthur FC v Wellington Phoenix FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 09:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Macarthur FC (Local)

Prévision 46.79%2.14cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -1.99%
Kelly -3.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.96%46.83%46.67%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.56%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wellington Phoenix FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.77%3.36cote équitable
EV +2.71%
Avantage +0.785%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.26%29.72%29.88%30.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.203.203.4534.48%31.28%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.44%4.27cote équitable
EV -0.130%
Avantage -0.030%
Kelly -0.040%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.68%23.45%23.45%26.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.873.804.2630.77%25.85%26.32%23.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV +2.71%E +0.785%K +1.11%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV +2.71%E +0.785%K +1.11%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 08:59
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV +2.71%E +0.785%K +1.11%G +0.030%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.77%E -4.50%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:59
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:59
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV +1.22%E +0.359%K +0.508%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -0.865%E -0.260%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -0.130%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:04
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -0.865%E -0.260%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -0.130%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:04
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:54
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.04%E -6.41%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.43%E -3.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.04%E -6.41%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -1.76%E -0.533%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.43%E -3.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 08:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.25%E -0.999%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.88%E -0.947%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:29
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.25%E -0.999%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:33
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -3.84%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.91%EV -1.07%E -0.253%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 03:10
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 00:32
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:38
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.91%EV -14.38%E -7.86%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -16.77%E -4.73%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 09:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:24
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:05
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:04
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.18%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.15%EV -6.52%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.74%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:34
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.71%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -12.09%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 00:34
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -5.96%E -2.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.31%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:39
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.56%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.05%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:43
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.56%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.05%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.74%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 03:04
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.66%EV -8.30%E -4.23%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:05
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:55
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.43%E -3.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.64%E -5.57%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -23.81%E -7.33%K -10.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.40%EV -11.11%E -5.85%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-24 03:05
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.06%EV -13.45%E -7.27%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.02%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.62%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-04-24 03:40