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Macarthur FC v Central Coast Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Macarthur FC (Local)
Prediction 58.32%1.71fair odd
EV +0.304%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.423%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.74%57.88%58.34%60.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.611.7264.52%61.74%62.11%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Central Coast Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 19.56%5.11fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.504%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.65%19.94%19.63%22.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.614.805.0126.32%21.69%20.83%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.13%4.52fair odd
EV +0.678%
Edge +0.149%
Kelly +0.191%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.81%22.18%22.02%24.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.104.104.5528.17%24.40%24.39%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Macarthur FC (Local): 58.32%; Central Coast Mariners (Visit): 19.56%; Draw: 22.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.678%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.30%EV -8.44%E -5.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.90%EV -2.02%E -0.404%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.81%EV +0.678%E +0.149%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -3.20%E -0.645%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.06%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 21:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.20%E -0.645%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -1.53%E -0.345%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.20%E -0.645%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -1.53%E -0.345%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.64%E -0.600%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 20:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -4.19%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-23 07:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.67%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-20 05:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.53%E -3.41%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-20 05:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-20 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -1.45%E -0.855%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -1.45%E -0.855%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -15.32%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -2.03%E -1.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -13.95%E -3.17%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.60%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -12.60%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -12.60%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV +0.304%E +0.177%K +0.423%G +0.001% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.16%EV -12.78%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.96%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.57%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -18.13%E -4.90%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.14%EV -18.84%E -4.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -19.24%E -5.27%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.06%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.19%EV -25.69%E -6.76%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.75%EV -21.45%E -6.04%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.