La scuola delle quote

Macarthur FC v Central Coast Mariners

Inizio: 2026-02-25 08:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Macarthur FC (Casa)

Previsione 58.32%1.71quota equa
EV +0.304%
Vantaggio +0.177%
Kelly +0.423%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.74%57.88%58.34%60.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.621.611.7264.52%61.74%62.11%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Central Coast Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.56%5.11quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -0.404%
Kelly -0.504%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.65%19.94%19.63%22.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.614.805.0126.32%21.69%20.83%19.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.13%4.52quota equa
EV +0.678%
Vantaggio +0.149%
Kelly +0.191%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.81%22.18%22.02%24.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.554.104.104.5528.17%24.40%24.39%21.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.30%EV -8.44%E -5.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.90%EV -2.02%E -0.404%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.81%EV +0.678%E +0.149%K +0.191%G +0.001%5.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -3.20%E -0.645%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 17:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.06%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 17:49
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 21:34
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.20%E -0.645%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -1.53%E -0.345%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.20%E -0.645%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -1.53%E -0.345%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:49
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.64%E -0.600%K -0.777%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 20:00
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -4.19%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 07:40
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.67%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-20 05:45
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.53%E -3.41%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:34
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:45
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:45
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -1.45%E -0.855%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -1.45%E -0.855%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -15.32%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -2.03%E -1.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -13.95%E -3.17%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.60%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -12.60%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -12.60%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 05:35
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV +0.304%E +0.177%K +0.423%G +0.001%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.16%EV -12.78%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.96%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:35
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:50
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:50
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.57%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -18.13%E -4.90%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.14%EV -18.84%E -4.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -19.24%E -5.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.06%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.19%EV -25.69%E -6.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.75%EV -21.45%E -6.04%K -8.41%G +0.000%18.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.