L’École des cotes

Macarthur FC v Central Coast Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 08:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Macarthur FC (Local)

Prévision 58.32%1.71cote équitable
EV +0.304%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.423%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.74%57.88%58.34%60.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.621.611.7264.52%61.74%62.11%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Central Coast Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.56%5.11cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.504%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.65%19.94%19.63%22.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.614.805.0126.32%21.69%20.83%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.13%4.52cote équitable
EV +0.678%
Avantage +0.149%
Kelly +0.191%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.81%22.18%22.02%24.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.554.104.104.5528.17%24.40%24.39%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.30%EV -8.44%E -5.38%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.90%EV -2.02%E -0.404%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.81%EV +0.678%E +0.149%K +0.191%G +0.001%5.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -3.20%E -0.645%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 17:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.06%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 17:49
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 21:34
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.20%E -0.645%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -1.53%E -0.345%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.20%E -0.645%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -1.53%E -0.345%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:49
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.64%E -0.600%K -0.777%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 20:00
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -4.19%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 07:40
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.67%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-20 05:45
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.53%E -3.41%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:34
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:45
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.11%E -3.80%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-20 05:45
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -1.45%E -0.855%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -1.45%E -0.855%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -15.32%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -2.03%E -1.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -13.95%E -3.17%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.60%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -12.60%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -12.60%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 05:35
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV +0.304%E +0.177%K +0.423%G +0.001%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.16%EV -12.78%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.96%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:35
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:50
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:50
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -0.862%E -0.507%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.70%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.57%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -21.77%E -5.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -18.13%E -4.90%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.14%EV -18.84%E -4.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -19.24%E -5.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.06%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.19%EV -25.69%E -6.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.75%EV -21.45%E -6.04%K -8.41%G +0.000%18.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.