Language:English
Central Coast Mariners v Adelaide United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Central Coast Mariners (Local)
Prediction 32.08%3.12fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +0.831%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.55%32.09%32.06%33.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.962.953.2037.04%33.77%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adelaide United (Visit)
Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.56%42.22%42.20%45.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.162.202.3450.76%46.28%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV +0.304%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.43%25.69%25.75%27.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.663.653.9032.26%27.30%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Coast Mariners (Local): 32.08%; Adelaide United (Visit): 42.20%; Draw: 25.72%. For Central Coast Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV +2.66%E +0.831%K +1.21%G +0.032% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -12.22%E -5.88%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV +0.304%E +0.078%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -13.07%E -6.34%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -0.982%E -0.255%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -13.07%E -6.34%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -0.982%E -0.255%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -0.548%E -0.177%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -8.43%E -3.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.706%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -16.87%E -8.56%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.706%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -16.87%E -8.56%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.00%E -3.67%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.34%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 01:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -8.00%E -3.67%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -6.90%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.89%E -2.64%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -7.58%E -3.46%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.37%EV -1.25%E -0.535%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.48%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 03:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.32%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.32%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.65%EV -2.10%E -0.904%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.725%E -0.188%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.65%EV -2.10%E -0.904%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.725%E -0.188%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 04:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -7.61%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -4.63%E -2.05%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 03:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.57%E -3.01%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 20:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -15.60%E -7.80%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.27%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -11.78%E -4.28%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.38%E -4.96%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-13 20:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -13.38%E -4.96%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -12.65%E -6.11%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-14 03:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89% | 0.3% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.59% | 2.8% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |