La escuela de los momios

Central Coast Mariners v Adelaide United

Inicio: 2026-03-14 04:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Central Coast Mariners (Local)

Predicción 32.08%3.12momio equitativo
EV +2.66%
Ventaja +0.831%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.55%32.09%32.06%33.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.962.953.2037.04%33.77%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Adelaide United (Visitante)

Predicción 42.20%2.37momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.535%
Kelly -0.935%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.56%42.22%42.20%45.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.162.202.3450.76%46.28%45.45%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV +0.304%
Ventaja +0.078%
Kelly +0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.43%25.69%25.75%27.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.663.653.9032.26%27.30%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV +2.66%E +0.831%K +1.21%G +0.032%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -12.22%E -5.88%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV +0.304%E +0.078%K +0.105%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -13.07%E -6.34%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -0.982%E -0.255%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 03:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -13.07%E -6.34%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -0.982%E -0.255%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 03:50
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 03:50
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:49
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:49
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -0.548%E -0.177%K -0.261%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -8.43%E -3.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 22:34
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.706%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -16.87%E -8.56%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 03:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.706%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -16.87%E -8.56%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 03:50
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 03:54
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 03:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 03:55
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 03:55
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.00%E -3.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.34%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 01:05
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 03:54
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -8.00%E -3.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -6.90%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 03:54
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 03:54
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.89%E -2.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 16:10
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -7.58%E -3.46%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 03:55
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:55
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.37%EV -1.25%E -0.535%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.48%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 03:45
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.32%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 03:54
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.32%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 03:50
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.65%EV -2.10%E -0.904%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.725%E -0.188%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:39
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.65%EV -2.10%E -0.904%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.725%E -0.188%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:39
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 03:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 03:54
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 03:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 03:55
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 04:04
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 03:55
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 03:50
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 03:55
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -7.61%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -4.63%E -2.05%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 03:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.57%E -3.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 03:54
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 03:55
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 03:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 03:54
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 03:50
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 20:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -15.60%E -7.80%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.27%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-14 03:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -11.78%E -4.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 03:54
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.38%E -4.96%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-13 20:35
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -13.38%E -4.96%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -12.65%E -6.11%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 03:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-03-14 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-03-14 03:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-03-14 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-03-14 03:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.59%2.8%2026-03-14 03:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-03-14 03:55