L’École des cotes

Central Coast Mariners v Adelaide United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 04:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Central Coast Mariners (Local)

Prévision 32.08%3.12cote équitable
EV +2.66%
Avantage +0.831%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.55%32.09%32.06%33.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.962.953.2037.04%33.77%33.90%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Adelaide United (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.20%2.37cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.535%
Kelly -0.935%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.56%42.22%42.20%45.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.162.202.3450.76%46.28%45.45%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.72%3.89cote équitable
EV +0.304%
Avantage +0.078%
Kelly +0.105%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.43%25.69%25.75%27.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.663.653.9032.26%27.30%27.40%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV +2.66%E +0.831%K +1.21%G +0.032%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -12.22%E -5.88%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV +0.304%E +0.078%K +0.105%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -13.07%E -6.34%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -0.982%E -0.255%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 03:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -13.07%E -6.34%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -0.982%E -0.255%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 03:50
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 03:50
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:49
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:49
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +1.06%E +0.335%K +0.491%G +0.005%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -13.91%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:50
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -0.548%E -0.177%K -0.261%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -8.43%E -3.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 22:34
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.706%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -16.87%E -8.56%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 03:50
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.706%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -16.87%E -8.56%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 03:50
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 03:54
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 03:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 03:55
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 03:55
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.00%E -3.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.34%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 01:05
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.76%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 03:54
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -4.72%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -8.00%E -3.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -6.90%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 03:54
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 03:54
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.89%E -2.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 16:10
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -7.58%E -3.46%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 03:55
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 03:55
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.15%EV -6.32%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.37%EV -1.25%E -0.535%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.48%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 03:45
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.32%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 03:54
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.32%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 03:50
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.65%EV -2.10%E -0.904%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.725%E -0.188%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:39
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.65%EV -2.10%E -0.904%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -0.725%E -0.188%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:39
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 03:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 03:54
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 03:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 03:55
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 04:04
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 03:55
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 03:50
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.96%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 03:55
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -7.61%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -4.63%E -2.05%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 03:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.57%E -3.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 03:54
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 03:55
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 03:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 03:54
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -5.05%E -2.24%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 03:50
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 20:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -10.17%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -15.60%E -7.80%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.27%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-14 03:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -11.78%E -4.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.16%E -3.25%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.55%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 03:54
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -13.38%E -4.96%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -13.49%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-13 20:35
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -13.38%E -4.96%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -12.65%E -6.11%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 03:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-03-14 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-03-14 03:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-03-14 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-03-14 03:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.37%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.59%2.8%2026-03-14 03:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-03-14 03:55