Language:English
Brisbane Roar v Melbourne City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brisbane Roar (Local)
Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.533%
Kelly +0.716%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.35%26.25%26.31%28.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.603.603.9030.77%27.81%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Melbourne City (Visit)
Prediction 47.35%2.11fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.728%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.78%47.26%47.23%49.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.941.952.0856.18%51.46%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.48%3.78fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.56%26.50%26.46%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.503.6532.26%28.47%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brisbane Roar (Local): 26.17%; Melbourne City (Visit): 47.35%; Draw: 26.48%. For Brisbane Roar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV +2.08%E +0.533%K +0.716%G +0.015% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -8.62%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -10.51%E -5.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -10.51%E -5.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -10.51%E -5.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.11%EV -4.83%E -2.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -3.62%E -0.995%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.70%EV -1.59%E -0.422%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.70%EV -1.59%E -0.422%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -1.85%E -0.493%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.09%E -4.73%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -13.82%E -7.60%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -13.82%E -7.60%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.47%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 05:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -15.72%E -8.83%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.10%EV -6.30%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.43%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.47%EV -6.54%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 05:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.08%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.08%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -4.83%E -2.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.25%E -3.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.35%E -7.30%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.92%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-18 05:26 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -10.04%E -5.28%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.51%E -0.728%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 08:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -11.93%E -6.41%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.94%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.30% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |