La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Brisbane Roar v Melbourne City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Brisbane Roar (Local)
Predicción 26.17%3.82momio equitativo
EV +2.08%
Ventaja +0.533%
Kelly +0.716%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.35%26.25%26.31%28.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.603.603.9030.77%27.81%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Melbourne City (Visitante)
Predicción 47.35%2.11momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.728%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.78%47.26%47.23%49.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.941.952.0856.18%51.46%51.28%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -0.920%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.56%26.50%26.46%27.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.6532.26%28.47%28.57%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV +2.08%E +0.533%K +0.716%G +0.015% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -8.62%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -10.51%E -5.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -10.51%E -5.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -10.51%E -5.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.11%EV -4.83%E -2.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -3.62%E -0.995%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.70%EV -1.59%E -0.422%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.70%EV -1.59%E -0.422%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -1.85%E -0.493%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.09%E -4.73%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -13.82%E -7.60%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -13.82%E -7.60%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.47%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 05:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -15.72%E -8.83%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| GTbets | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.10%EV -6.30%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.43%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.47%EV -6.54%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 05:26 |
| BetUS | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.08%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.08%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -4.83%E -2.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.25%E -3.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.35%E -7.30%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.92%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-18 05:26 |
| Everygame | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -10.04%E -5.28%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.51%E -0.728%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 08:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -11.93%E -6.41%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.94%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Kalshi | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.30% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |