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Brisbane Roar v Melbourne City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Brisbane Roar (Хозяева)
Прогноз 26.17%3.82справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.08%
Преимущество +0.533%
Kelly +0.716%
Рост +0.015%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.35%26.25%26.31%28.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.603.603.9030.77%27.81%27.78%25.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Melbourne City (Гости)
Прогноз 47.35%2.11справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.51%
Преимущество -0.728%
Kelly -1.40%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.08
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.78%47.26%47.23%49.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.781.941.952.0856.18%51.46%51.28%48.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.48%3.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.36%
Преимущество -0.920%
Kelly -1.27%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.56%26.50%26.46%27.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.513.503.6532.26%28.47%28.57%27.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Brisbane Roar (Хозяева): 26.17%; Melbourne City (Гости): 47.35%; Ничья: 26.48%. Для исхода «Brisbane Roar (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.82. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.90, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.08%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV +2.08%E +0.533%K +0.716%G +0.015% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -8.62%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -10.51%E -5.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -10.51%E -5.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -10.51%E -5.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.11%EV -4.83%E -2.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.57%EV -3.62%E -0.995%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -0.540%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.70%EV -1.59%E -0.422%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.70%EV -1.59%E -0.422%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -1.85%E -0.493%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.09%E -4.73%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -13.82%E -7.60%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -13.82%E -7.60%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.47%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 05:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -15.72%E -8.83%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.10%EV -6.30%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.43%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.47%EV -6.54%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 05:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.08%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.08%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -4.83%E -2.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.25%E -3.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.35%E -7.30%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.92%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-18 05:26 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -2.93%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -10.04%E -5.28%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.35%E -2.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 06:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.51%E -0.728%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 08:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -11.93%E -6.41%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.94%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 06:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.30% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |