Language:English
Auckland FC v Macarthur FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Auckland FC (Local)
Prediction 57.14%1.75fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.48%57.09%57.27%59.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.631.641.6866.67%61.37%60.98%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Macarthur FC (Visit)
Prediction 19.98%5.01fair odd
EV -0.115%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.18%20.03%19.96%21.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.674.705.0024.39%21.42%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.659%
Kelly +0.848%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%22.88%22.77%25.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.034.004.5029.41%24.82%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auckland FC (Local): 57.14%; Macarthur FC (Visit): 19.98%; Draw: 22.88%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.97%E +0.659%K +0.848%G +0.025% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.07%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.92%EV -3.31%E -0.684%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.01%EV +0.221%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.93%EV -3.11%E -0.642%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.17%EV -0.237%E -0.054%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.93%EV -3.11%E -0.642%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.17%EV -0.237%E -0.054%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -9.11%E -2.00%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 07:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -0.115%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -0.115%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -2.11%E -0.431%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 01:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 01:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -14.10%E -3.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.82%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.90%EV -5.31%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.29%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -6.86%E -4.21%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.10%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 01:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.62%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.62%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -10.29%E -6.55%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -10.29%E -6.55%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.16%EV -10.86%E -6.96%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -18.09%E -4.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.79%EV -14.29%E -9.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.70%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -10.86%E -6.96%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.48%EV -10.29%E -6.55%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.36%EV -16.10%E -3.83%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.16%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.53% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |