La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Auckland FC v Macarthur FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Auckland FC (Local)
Predicción 57.14%1.75momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -5.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.48%57.09%57.27%59.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.631.641.6866.67%61.37%60.98%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Macarthur FC (Visitante)
Predicción 19.98%5.01momio equitativo
EV -0.115%
Ventaja -0.023%
Kelly -0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.18%20.03%19.96%21.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.674.705.0024.39%21.42%21.28%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.88%4.37momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +0.659%
Kelly +0.848%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.01%22.88%22.77%25.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.034.004.5029.41%24.82%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.97%E +0.659%K +0.848%G +0.025% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.07%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.92%EV -3.31%E -0.684%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.01%EV +0.221%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.93%EV -3.11%E -0.642%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.17%EV -0.237%E -0.054%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.93%EV -3.11%E -0.642%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.17%EV -0.237%E -0.054%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -9.11%E -2.00%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 07:50 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -0.115%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -0.115%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -2.11%E -0.431%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 01:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 01:20 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -14.10%E -3.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| GTbets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.82%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.90%EV -5.31%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.29%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -6.86%E -4.21%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 01:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.10%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 01:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 01:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.62%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.62%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -10.29%E -6.55%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -10.29%E -6.55%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.16%EV -10.86%E -6.96%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -18.09%E -4.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.79%EV -14.29%E -9.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.70%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -10.86%E -6.96%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.48%EV -10.29%E -6.55%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.36%EV -16.10%E -3.83%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.16%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.53% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |