L’École des cotes

Auckland FC v Macarthur FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 02:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Auckland FC (Local)

Prévision 57.14%1.75cote équitable
EV -4.00%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -5.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.48%57.09%57.27%59.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.641.6866.67%61.37%60.98%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Macarthur FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.98%5.01cote équitable
EV -0.115%
Avantage -0.023%
Kelly -0.029%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.18%20.03%19.96%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.674.705.0024.39%21.42%21.28%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.88%4.37cote équitable
EV +2.97%
Avantage +0.659%
Kelly +0.848%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%22.88%22.77%25.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.034.004.5029.41%24.82%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.97%E +0.659%K +0.848%G +0.025%5.8%2026-03-21 01:54
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.07%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.92%EV -3.31%E -0.684%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.01%EV +0.221%E +0.050%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 01:55
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.93%EV -3.11%E -0.642%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.17%EV -0.237%E -0.054%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 01:54
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.93%EV -3.11%E -0.642%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.17%EV -0.237%E -0.054%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 01:55
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -4.00%E -2.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -9.11%E -2.00%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 07:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:54
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 01:54
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 01:54
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:54
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -0.115%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 01:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -0.115%E -0.023%K -0.029%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 01:55
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -2.11%E -0.431%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:19
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:54
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 01:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -14.10%E -3.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 01:54
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.82%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.90%EV -5.31%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.29%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:54
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:55
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 01:54
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -6.86%E -4.21%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 01:20
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -5.14%E -3.10%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.10%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 01:15
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:55
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:54
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:54
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:54
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:55
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.11%E -0.856%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 01:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.11%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 01:54
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.62%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.11%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.62%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 01:55
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.57%E -5.36%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 01:54
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -10.29%E -6.55%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 01:55
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -10.29%E -6.55%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 01:54
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.16%EV -10.86%E -6.96%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -18.09%E -4.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 01:55
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.79%EV -14.29%E -9.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.70%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-21 01:54
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 01:54
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 01:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 01:54
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.00%E -4.97%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.11%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -10.86%E -6.96%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -12.10%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.48%EV -10.29%E -6.55%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.36%EV -16.10%E -3.83%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.16%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-21 01:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-03-21 01:00
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.53%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-03-21 01:55