Language:English
Adelaide United v Auckland FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Adelaide United (Local)
Prediction 41.96%2.38fair odd
EV -0.146%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.37%41.99%42.03%43.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.242.252.3848.31%44.70%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Auckland FC (Visit)
Prediction 29.66%3.37fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.335%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.40%29.63%29.58%32.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.043.103.4137.04%32.89%32.26%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.38%3.52fair odd
EV +0.763%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.299%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%28.38%28.39%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.333.5534.72%30.20%30.08%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adelaide United (Local): 41.96%; Auckland FC (Visit): 29.66%; Draw: 28.38%. For Auckland FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV +1.14%E +0.335%K +0.474%G +0.005% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-15 09:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.01%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.01%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.37%EV -7.28%E -3.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 09:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.06%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.85%EV -5.98%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.08%EV -4.35%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 09:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.54%E -3.92%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.54%E -3.92%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.92%EV -7.16%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 09:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 08:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-15 09:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.37%EV -0.146%E -0.061%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.57%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV +0.763%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.08%EV -13.15%E -6.35%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -13.39%E -4.59%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-15 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -14.58%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -14.58%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.25%E -6.34%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.44%E -2.89%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.44%E -2.89%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -8.96%E -4.13%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -19.92%E -7.38%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 09:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 09:25 |