La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Adelaide United v Auckland FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adelaide United (Local)
Predicción 41.96%2.38momio equitativo
EV -0.146%
Ventaja -0.061%
Kelly -0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.37%41.99%42.03%43.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.242.252.3848.31%44.70%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Auckland FC (Visitante)
Predicción 29.66%3.37momio equitativo
EV +1.14%
Ventaja +0.335%
Kelly +0.474%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.40%29.63%29.58%32.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.043.103.4137.04%32.89%32.26%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.38%3.52momio equitativo
EV +0.763%
Ventaja +0.215%
Kelly +0.299%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.76%28.38%28.39%29.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.333.5534.72%30.20%30.08%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV +1.14%E +0.335%K +0.474%G +0.005% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-15 09:25 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.01%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.01%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| Bovada | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.37%EV -7.28%E -3.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 09:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.06%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.85%EV -5.98%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.08%EV -4.35%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 09:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.54%E -3.92%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.54%E -3.92%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.92%EV -7.16%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 09:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 08:53 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-15 09:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.37%EV -0.146%E -0.061%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.57%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV +0.763%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-15 09:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.08%EV -13.15%E -6.35%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -13.39%E -4.59%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-15 09:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-15 09:10 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -14.58%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -14.58%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.25%E -6.34%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.44%E -2.89%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.44%E -2.89%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -8.96%E -4.13%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -19.92%E -7.38%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-15 09:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 09:14 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-05-15 09:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 09:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 09:25 |