مدرسة الاحتمالات

Adelaide United v Auckland FC

البداية: 2026-05-15 09:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Adelaide United 0–3 Auckland FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (11 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Adelaide United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.96%2.38السعر العادل
EV -0.146%
الأفضلية -0.061%
Kelly -0.105%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.37%41.99%42.03%43.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.242.252.3848.31%44.70%44.44%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Auckland FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.66%3.37السعر العادل
EV +1.14%
الأفضلية +0.335%
Kelly +0.474%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.40%29.63%29.58%32.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.043.103.4137.04%32.89%32.26%29.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.38%3.52السعر العادل
EV +0.763%
الأفضلية +0.215%
Kelly +0.299%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.76%28.38%28.39%29.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.313.333.5534.72%30.20%30.08%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV +1.14%E +0.335%K +0.474%G +0.005%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-15 09:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 09:25
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.01%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-15 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -3.01%E -0.921%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-15 09:00
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 09:00
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 42.37%EV -7.28%E -3.29%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -3.60%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 09:29
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 09:29
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 09:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 09:00
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 09:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.06%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.85%EV -5.98%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.08%EV -4.35%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 09:04
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 09:09
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 09:14
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 09:09
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.54%E -3.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 09:09
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.54%E -3.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 09:09
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.92%EV -7.16%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 09:05
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 08:53
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 09:29
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 08:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 09:14
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 09:14
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 09:14
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 09:14
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 08:55
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 09:04
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 09:05
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 09:09
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.37%EV -0.146%E -0.061%K -0.105%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.57%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV +0.763%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002%4.1%2026-05-15 09:19
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-15 09:09
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.08%EV -13.15%E -6.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -13.39%E -4.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 09:29
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 09:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-15 09:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -14.58%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.656%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -14.58%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.25%E -6.34%K -9.71%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-15 09:00
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 09:19
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 09:19
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 09:19
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 09:19
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 09:19
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 09:20
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -3.50%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -15.47%E -5.43%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 09:19
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.44%E -2.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 09:19
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.44%E -2.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 09:19
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.46%EV -8.96%E -4.13%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.52%EV -19.92%E -7.38%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 09:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-05-15 09:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-05-15 09:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-05-15 09:14
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-05-15 09:30
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-05-15 09:00
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-05-15 09:25