A Escola das Odds

Velez Sarsfield BA v River Plate

Início: 2026-02-22 22:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)

Previsão 32.44%3.08odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -0.562%
Kelly -0.839%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.55%32.48%32.45%33.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.832.853.0339.22%35.31%35.09%33.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

River Plate (Visitante)

Previsão 35.43%2.82odd justa
EV -0.800%
Vantagem -0.286%
Kelly -0.445%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.23%35.35%35.45%36.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.622.642.8040.82%38.15%37.88%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.13%3.11odd justa
EV -2.00%
Vantagem -0.657%
Kelly -0.977%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.74%32.16%32.10%33.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.872.883.0539.22%34.84%34.78%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.98%EV -1.70%E -0.562%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.61%EV -0.800%E -0.286%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 21:55
BetOnline.ag3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -2.03%E -0.671%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.03%EV -3.63%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 22:05
LowVig.ag3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -2.03%E -0.671%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.03%EV -3.63%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 22:00
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 21:50
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 21:50
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 21:44
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 21:50
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -4.62%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.94%EV -5.41%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 22:04
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -5.60%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.66%EV -4.70%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 22:04
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 21:44
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 21:59
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 22:00
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 21:45
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -6.57%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 21:45
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.57%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.47%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -6.89%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 21:45
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -7.54%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -2.57%E -0.935%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 22:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.54%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 21:55
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.54%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 22:05
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.00%E -0.657%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.00%E -0.657%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 18:55
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -2.00%E -0.657%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 21:45
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -7.79%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 22:00
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.18%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.47%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 21:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.66%E -3.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.30%EV -6.82%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 21:45
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.18%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 21:54
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.09%EV -12.49%E -5.06%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.50%EV -9.07%E -3.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 21:48
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 18:55
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 18:55
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.46%E -6.33%K -10.29%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-22 21:55
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -13.38%E -5.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -12.49%E -5.06%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.25%E -4.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 22:04
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -14.03%E -5.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.92%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-22 21:45
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 32.89%EV -17.27%E -6.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.23%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.89%EV -18.07%E -7.09%K -11.66%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-22 22:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-02-22 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-02-22 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-02-22 22:05
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-02-22 22:05
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%1.9%2026-02-22 22:00