La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Velez Sarsfield BA v River Plate
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Predicción 32.44%3.08momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.562%
Kelly -0.839%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.55%32.48%32.45%33.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.832.853.0339.22%35.31%35.09%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
River Plate (Visitante)
Predicción 35.43%2.82momio equitativo
EV -0.800%
Ventaja -0.286%
Kelly -0.445%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.23%35.35%35.45%36.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.622.642.8040.82%38.15%37.88%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.13%3.11momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.657%
Kelly -0.977%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.74%32.16%32.10%33.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.872.883.0539.22%34.84%34.78%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.98%EV -1.70%E -0.562%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.61%EV -0.800%E -0.286%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -2.03%E -0.671%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.03%EV -3.63%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -2.03%E -0.671%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.03%EV -3.63%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 22:00 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 21:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 21:44 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -4.62%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.94%EV -5.41%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -5.60%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.66%EV -4.70%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 22:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 21:44 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 21:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 21:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -6.57%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 21:45 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.57%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.47%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -6.89%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 21:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -7.54%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -2.57%E -0.935%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.54%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 21:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.54%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 22:05 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.00%E -0.657%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.00%E -0.657%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -2.00%E -0.657%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 21:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -7.79%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 22:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.18%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.47%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 21:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.66%E -3.79%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-22 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.30%EV -6.82%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.18%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-22 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-22 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.09%EV -12.49%E -5.06%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.50%EV -9.07%E -3.21%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-22 21:48 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-22 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-22 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.46%E -6.33%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-22 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -13.38%E -5.01%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -12.49%E -5.06%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.25%E -4.91%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-22 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -14.03%E -5.29%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.92%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-22 21:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.89%EV -17.27%E -6.77%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.23%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.89%EV -18.07%E -7.09%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-02-22 22:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 0.5% | 2026-02-22 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 22:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 1.9% | 2026-02-22 22:00 |