L’École des cotes

Velez Sarsfield BA v River Plate

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 22:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)

Prévision 32.44%3.08cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.562%
Kelly -0.839%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.55%32.48%32.45%33.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.832.853.0339.22%35.31%35.09%33.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

River Plate (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.43%2.82cote équitable
EV -0.800%
Avantage -0.286%
Kelly -0.445%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.23%35.35%35.45%36.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.622.642.8040.82%38.15%37.88%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.13%3.11cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.657%
Kelly -0.977%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.74%32.16%32.10%33.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.872.883.0539.22%34.84%34.78%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.98%EV -1.70%E -0.562%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.61%EV -0.800%E -0.286%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 21:55
BetOnline.ag3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -2.03%E -0.671%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.03%EV -3.63%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 22:05
LowVig.ag3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -2.03%E -0.671%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.03%EV -3.63%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 22:00
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 21:50
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 21:50
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 21:44
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -4.30%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 21:50
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -4.62%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.94%EV -5.41%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 22:04
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -5.60%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.66%EV -4.70%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 22:04
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 21:44
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 21:59
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 22:00
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 21:45
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -6.57%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 21:45
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.57%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.47%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -6.89%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 21:45
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -7.54%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -2.57%E -0.935%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 22:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.54%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 21:55
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.54%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 22:05
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.00%E -0.657%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -2.00%E -0.657%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 18:55
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -2.00%E -0.657%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 21:45
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -7.79%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 22:00
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.18%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.47%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 21:54
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.16%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.66%E -3.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.30%EV -6.82%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -3.61%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 21:45
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.18%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 21:54
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.09%EV -12.49%E -5.06%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.50%EV -9.07%E -3.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 21:48
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -10.04%E -3.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 18:55
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 18:55
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -7.89%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -12.41%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.46%E -6.33%K -10.29%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-22 21:55
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -13.38%E -5.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -12.49%E -5.06%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.25%E -4.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 22:04
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -14.03%E -5.29%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.92%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-22 21:45
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 32.89%EV -17.27%E -6.77%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.23%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.89%EV -18.07%E -7.09%K -11.66%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-22 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-02-22 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-02-22 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-02-22 22:05
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-02-22 22:05
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%1.9%2026-02-22 22:00