L’École des cotesVelez Sarsfield BA v Gimnasia La Plata
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Prévision 46.59%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.27%46.65%46.67%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.861.972.002.0753.76%50.65%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.60%4.43cote équitable
EV +1.68%
Avantage +0.373%
Kelly +0.480%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.80%22.57%22.46%24.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.104.104.5026.67%24.41%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.81%3.25cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.90%30.77%30.87%31.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.013.003.1736.36%33.26%33.33%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.68%E +0.373%K +0.480%G +0.008% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 00:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.27%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.579%E -0.132%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 00:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.39%EV -3.55%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.92%EV -1.03%E -0.235%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.69%EV -6.64%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.36%EV -4.95%E -2.43%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.16%EV -1.48%E -0.340%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -2.33%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.17%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.71%E -0.393%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -5.10%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.17%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.71%E -0.393%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -5.10%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -1.71%E -0.393%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.87%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.94%E -0.934%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 00:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-11 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.37%EV -6.35%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.17%EV -7.87%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 00:16 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.80%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -10.54%E -5.49%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.58%EV -11.94%E -6.32%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 23:34 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 22:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 22:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-11 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.76%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.44%EV -10.07%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-11 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.01%EV -9.61%E -4.95%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 23:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -13.34%E -7.17%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-11 00:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.54%EV -12.87%E -6.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.86%EV -13.11%E -4.65%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.26%EV -11.47%E -6.04%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-11 00:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |