La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Velez Sarsfield BA v Gimnasia La Plata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Predicción 46.59%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.27%46.65%46.67%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.972.002.0753.76%50.65%50.00%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante)
Predicción 22.60%4.43momio equitativo
EV +1.68%
Ventaja +0.373%
Kelly +0.480%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.80%22.57%22.46%24.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.104.104.5026.67%24.41%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.81%3.25momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -0.734%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.90%30.77%30.87%31.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.003.1736.36%33.26%33.33%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.68%E +0.373%K +0.480%G +0.008% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 00:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.27%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.579%E -0.132%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 00:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.39%EV -3.55%E -1.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.92%EV -1.03%E -0.235%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.69%EV -6.64%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.36%EV -4.95%E -2.43%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.16%EV -1.48%E -0.340%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -2.33%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.17%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.71%E -0.393%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -5.10%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.17%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.71%E -0.393%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -5.10%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -1.71%E -0.393%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.87%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.94%E -0.934%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -3.97%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 00:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 00:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -5.10%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-11 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.37%EV -6.35%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.17%EV -7.87%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 22:55 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 00:16 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.80%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -10.54%E -5.49%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.58%EV -11.94%E -6.32%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -7.36%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 23:34 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 22:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 22:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -9.62%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-11 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.76%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.44%EV -10.07%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-11 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.01%EV -9.61%E -4.95%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 23:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -13.34%E -7.17%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-11 00:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.54%EV -12.87%E -6.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.86%EV -13.11%E -4.65%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.26%EV -11.47%E -6.04%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-11 00:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 1.5% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |