语言:简体中文
Velez Sarsfield BA v Estudiantes
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Velez Sarsfield BA (主队)
预测 34.78%2.87公平赔率
EV -2.60%
优势 -0.929%
Kelly -1.45%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.80
博彩公司预测分布
33.98%34.82%34.85%36.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.642.662.8040.82%37.89%37.59%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
Estudiantes (客队)
预测 30.86%3.24公平赔率
EV +5.25%
优势 +1.54%
Kelly +2.18%
增长率 +0.114%
假设最高赔率为 3.41
博彩公司预测分布
28.13%30.83%30.89%31.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.013.003.4135.09%33.22%33.33%29.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 34.35%2.91公平赔率
EV -4.16%
优势 -1.49%
Kelly -2.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.79
博彩公司预测分布
32.98%34.35%34.26%36.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.702.732.7940.00%37.09%36.70%35.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Velez Sarsfield BA (主队)：34.78%；Estudiantes (客队)：30.86%；平局：34.35%。 对于“Estudiantes (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.24。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.41，对应+5.25%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.40%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV +5.25%E +1.54%K +2.18%G +0.114% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -2.60%E -0.929%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -2.78%E -0.882%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -2.60%E -0.929%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -2.78%E -0.882%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.86%EV -4.85%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -2.60%E -0.929%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -2.78%E -0.882%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.86%EV -4.85%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -2.60%E -0.929%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -2.78%E -0.882%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.86%EV -4.85%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.97%EV -7.12%E -2.67%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93%EV -3.71%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.10%EV -8.63%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.84%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -4.50%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.84%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -4.50%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 00:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.31%EV -11.99%E -4.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.59%EV -9.88%E -3.38%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.10%EV -10.00%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.06%EV -9.88%E -3.38%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.83%EV -13.43%E -5.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-05 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.35%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.60%EV -13.73%E -5.54%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.96%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.60%EV -13.73%E -5.54%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.96%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -14.78%E -6.03%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -11.11%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-06 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.80%EV -14.78%E -6.03%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -11.11%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.74%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.00%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 00:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.61% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 00:10 |