StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Velez Sarsfield BA v Estudiantes

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 00:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Velez Sarsfield BA 1–0 Estudiantes

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Velez Sarsfield BA (Hemma)

Prognos 34.78%2.87rättvist odds
EV -2.60%
Fördel -0.929%
Kelly -1.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.98%34.82%34.85%36.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.642.662.8040.82%37.89%37.59%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes (Borta)

Prognos 30.86%3.24rättvist odds
EV +5.25%
Fördel +1.54%
Kelly +2.18%
Tillväxt +0.114%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.13%30.83%30.89%31.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.013.003.4135.09%33.22%33.33%29.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 34.35%2.91rättvist odds
EV -4.16%
Fördel -1.49%
Kelly -2.32%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.98%34.35%34.26%36.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.702.732.7940.00%37.09%36.70%35.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Velez Sarsfield BA (Hemma): 34.78%; Estudiantes (Borta): 30.86%; Oavgjort: 34.35%. För Estudiantes (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.24. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.41, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.25%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.40%EV -5.73%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV +5.25%E +1.54%K +2.18%G +0.114%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:10
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -2.60%E -0.929%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -2.78%E -0.882%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -2.60%E -0.929%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -2.78%E -0.882%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.86%EV -4.85%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -2.60%E -0.929%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -2.78%E -0.882%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.86%EV -4.85%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:55
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -2.60%E -0.929%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -2.78%E -0.882%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.86%EV -4.85%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.97%EV -7.12%E -2.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93%EV -3.71%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.10%EV -8.63%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 00:10
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:10
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 00:10
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.84%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -4.50%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:50
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.84%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -4.50%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 00:00
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:55
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 00:05
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 00:10
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:05
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:05
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 00:00
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 00:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-05 23:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 00:01
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 00:10
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.31%EV -11.99%E -4.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.59%EV -9.88%E -3.38%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.10%EV -10.00%E -3.82%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.06%EV -9.88%E -3.38%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.83%EV -13.43%E -5.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 00:05
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -8.52%E -3.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 00:05
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.35%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.60%EV -13.73%E -5.54%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.96%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.60%EV -13.73%E -5.54%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.96%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -14.78%E -6.03%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 00:00
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -11.11%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.80%EV -14.78%E -6.03%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -11.11%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.74%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.00%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 00:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.61%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%1.0%2026-09-06 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%1.2%2026-09-06 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%1.2%2026-09-06 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%1.2%2026-09-06 00:10
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-09-06 00:10